Tuesday 18 November 2014

Go Low Carbon AND do it for the money!

Go Low Carbon AND do it for the money!
précised by Jenny Huggett from an article in New Scientist by Fred Pierce.

A few weeks ago the Better Growth, Better Climate: the New Climate Economy Report was put before world leaders at the UN Climate Summit 2014 in New York. The new message is that fighting climate change does not, or need not, have a price tag, and that nations should cut emissions out of self-interest. The publication comes from the Global Climate Commission on the Economy and Climate, an independent body chaired by Felipe Calderon (former President of Mexico) and Nicholas Stern of the London School of Economics).

The report states that if the world spends wisely on reducing emissions the climate problem could be largely solved and that economic growth would be greater than in a high-carbon economy. If all energy subsidies were removed the setting of emissions targets would be unnecessary, as market forces would create a low carbon economy! Maybe not news to Greens, or people actually working in renewables, but this is paradigm-shifting stuff for most politicians. The report goes on to say that delay is dangerous, for every coal fired power station built, the cost of shifting to a low carbon economy will be greater. In summary the reports recommendations are:

City structure - Cities need to become compact instead of sprawling, and with mass public transport and cleaner power. Though how this could be achieved in practice with existing cities is not covered.

Degraded farm land restoration – Restoring just 12% of degraded land could feed 200 million people. Most degraded land is in the third world where most of the undernourished live, rather a lot of the rest is in the USA (that last bit is my view!).

Energy generation – Half of all new energy generating capacity is now renewable and the price of solar power has fall by 90% in less than a decade. The report concludes that solar now can outcompete coal, and that the switch is a “no brainer”. Ill health caused by fossil fuel generated smog cuts GNP by 4%.

Critics say that the switch to a low carbon economy requires large infrastructure investment not accounted for in the way the report compares fossil fuel and renewable energy sources. But the authors point out that such costs will be “swamped” by better health and economic efficiency benefits.

And this report is not a lone voice, a report from the Cambridge Econometrics, forecast that with a cut of 60% carbon emissions in the UK by 2030, the GDP would be 1.1% higher than today.

If markets had perfect foresight the low carbon switch would just happen, but so long as the market is skewed by fossil fuel subsidies (which the International Energy Agency says are worth more than five times those for renewables), it is not going to happen. Only governments can change this.